Thursday, June 5, 2014

Prajna Capital

Prajna Capital


Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund - Invest Online

Posted: 05 Jun 2014 05:12 AM PDT

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94 8300 8300

 

Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund

 

Investment Objective

 

The scheme aims to generate long-term capital growth, income generation and distribution of dividend.It would target the same sectoral weights as BSE 200, subject to flexibility of selecting stocks within a particular sector.

 

Fund Managers

 

Mahesh Patil since Nov 2005

 

Analysis

 

This is the sort of fund whose stated strategy could be called index with a garnish. The fund house has chosen to define the strategy as a variation on the BSE 200 benchmark. It says that the fund would aim for the same sector weights as the index and try to get all the advantage by having a different stock selection within those sectors. Essentially, this can be seen as a way of ensuring that sector-wide events and trends do not affect the relative performance of the fund and the fund thrives or survives by the strength of its stock selection alone.

 

Does the theory work? Let's see. Frontline hasn't underperformed the benchmark for ten years now. Whether it was a terrible year like 2008, or great ones like 2006, 2007 or 2009, this fund always either rises more than the benchmark returns or falls less. The result: an excellent relative performance. The fund has outpaced the index at 3.8 per cent per annum over the last five years, which is an aggregate of 21 per cent. By itself, its gains over the period have aggregated to 1.7 times the original value or 22 per cent per year. While the gains are impressive, it's the consistency of the lead over the benchmark that proves that the fund has proven its strategic theory.

 

As Mahesh Patil, Co-CIO, Birla Sun Life says, "Our objective is to beat the benchmark incrementally and consistently taking measured individual stock bets in the portfolio. The mandate of the fund does not allow us to take large sectoral deviations vis-à-vis the benchmark. Typically, 70 per cent of the portfolio is the core, which are longer term, high conviction calls."

 

Examining the portfolio in detail one can observe that the sectoral match with the benchmark is quite close but obviously not perfect. Similar is the case with the actual stocks. While it's easy to nitpick objections, the fact is that the approach has a proven track record. And with fund manager Mahesh Patil having been round for nine years now, there's little reason to doubt that investors will continue to be well-served by this fund.

For further information contact Prajna Capital on 94 8300 8300 by leaving a missed call

Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300

Leave your comment with mail ID and we will answer them

OR

You can write back to us at

PrajnaCapital [at] Gmail [dot] Com

---------------------------------------------

Invest Mutual Funds Online

Invest Any Mutual Fund Online

Download Mutual Fund Application Forms from all AMCs

Download Mutual Any Fund Application Forms

---------------------------------------------

Best Performing Mutual Funds

    1. Largecap Funds Invest Online
      1. DSP BlackRock Top 100 Fund
      2. ICICI Prudential Focused Blue Chip Fund
      3. Franklin India Bluechip
      4. ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund

B. Large and Midcap Funds Invest Online

      1. ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan
      2. HDFC Top 200 Fund
      3. UTI Dividend Yield Fund
      4. Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund
      5. Franklin India Prima

C. Mid and SmallCap Funds Invest Online

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      2. DSP BlackRock Small & Midcap Fund
      3. Sundaram Select Midcap
      4. IDFC Premier Equity Fund
      5. Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus
      6. SBI Emerging Businesses Fund
      7. HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund
      8. ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund

D. Small and MicroCap Funds Invest Online

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2.Franklin India Smaller Companies

E. Sector Funds Invest Online

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      2. Reliance Banking Fund
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F. Tax Saver Mutual Funds Invest Online

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2. HDFC Taxsaver

      1. DSP BlackRock Tax Saver Fund
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G. Gold Mutual Funds Invest Online

      1. Relaince Gold Savings Fund
      2. ICICI Prudential Regular Gold Savings Fund
      3. HDFC Gold Fund
      4. Birla Sun Life Gold

H. International funds Invest Online

1. Birla Sun Life International Equity Plan A

2. DSP BlackRock US Flexible Equity

3. FT India Feeder Franklin US Opportunities

4. ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity

5. Motilal Oswal MOSt Shares NASDAQ-100 ETF

Returns of Endowment Policy

Posted: 05 Jun 2014 04:46 AM PDT

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94 8300 8300

 

 

Returns from your Endowment Insurance Policy

Endowment insurance policies have always been very popular in India. The advent of ULIPs had an impact on the popularity of endowment policies, but they still continue to be quite popular. If you had bought your life insurance policy 10 or 15 years back, most probably it would have been an endowment policy. Endowment plans are hybrid life insurance and investment instruments. In the event of an untimely death, at any point of time during the term of the policy, the family of the policy holder gets the insurance cover, also known as sum assured. On maturity, the policy holder gets a guaranteed amount (also known as sum assured) and a bonus amount. In this article we will discuss, how endowment insurance policy holders can calculate the return on their investment. In the case of endowment plans, the investment made by the policy holder is the total premiums paid over the term of the policy. We will discuss how to estimate the maturity amount, with the example of endowment plans from Life Insurance Corporation (LIC). However, you can use this method to calculate returns from endowment plans of other insurance companies, with suitable adjustments.

How do endowment plans generate returns?

A portion of the premium gets allocated towards the sum assured and a portion of the premium is allocated towards the administrative expenses of the insurer. The balance portion of the premium gets invested. The money that is invested generates a certain return every year. This return may be declared as a bonus. The bonus is declared usually as a percentage of the sum assured. The life insurance company may declare bonus every year, but the bonus is not guaranteed. Once declared, this bonus becomes part of the guaranteed benefits of the plan. The bonus is not payable immediately, but accrues every year and becomes payable only at maturity or a death claim.

 

Types of bonuses

LIC offers three types of bonuses:-

  • Simple Reversionary Bonus: Generally when we speak about bonus of an endowment policy, essentially we are speaking about Simple Reversionary Bonus. It is usually declared every year as an amount per thousand of sum assured and accrues throughout the term of the policy. It is payable either on maturity or claim or surrender of the policy. If the policy holder surrenders the policy before completing the full policy term, he/she will not get the full bonus amount. LIC discloses the bonus amount every year. It is available on the LIC website. The most important thing to note about Simple Reversionary Bonus is that it does not compound, it only accumulates.

 

  • Final Additional Bonus (FAB): This bonus is paid on certain policies which run for long duration (e.g. 15 years and above, as decided by LIC). This bonus is calculated at the time of maturity or claim. The LIC bonus document contains the information regarding the insurance plans that qualify for FAB, and the FAB amounts by duration and sum assured.

 

  • Loyalty Additions: This is loyalty bonus and is paid on certain policies policy holders who have been with LIC for a long time. This bonus is also calculated on per thousand sum assured basis. Usually Loyalty Additions are calculated at the end of the term.

Let us see now with an example, how to calculate the return of your endowment plan. Let us assume you bought an endowment plan in 2002 with a sum assured of Rs 10 lakhs and policy term of 20 years. Let us assume, you were then 30 years old and your premium would be around Rs 50,000 per annum. Further, let us assume you have opted for annual premium payment. Your policy will mature in 2022. Let us estimate what your maturity amount will be in 2022.

The table below shows the bonus declared by LIC since 2003.

The table below shows the Final Additional Bonus (FAB) declared by LIC by duration and sum assured in 2013

Normally policies which have regular bonuses do not have loyalty additions. Let us assume that, this policy does not have loyalty additions.

Let us now estimate what the final maturity amount will be. First we need to forecast, how much bonus LIC will declare on an annual basis, over the balance term of the policy. Over the years the bonus declared by LIC is coming down, as is evident in the table above showing bonuses from 2003 to 2013. In 2003 the bonus was Rs 61 per Rs 1000 of sum assured (SA). In 2013 it is only Rs 42 per Rs 1000 of SA. We will analyze 2 scenarios (you can analyze as multiple scenarios as you want based on your own assumptions).

Scenario 1: Bonus is flat at Rs 42 per Rs 1000 of SA for the balance term of the policy

For the balance term, 2014 to 2022, the bonus will be Rs 42 per Rs 1000 of SA every year. Let us assume the FAB will be Rs 70 per Rs 1000 of SA, as per 2013 rates (see FAB table above). Let us now estimate what the maturity amount will be. See the schedule below.

The maturity amount is Rs 19.59 lakhs. The total premium paid by you is Rs 10 lakhs. Since the investment is made on a periodic (annual) basis, we should use IRR to calculate the returns. The return of the endowment plan in this case is 6%.

 

 

Scenario 2: Bonus declines to 40 / 1000 SA from 2014 – 19 and 38 / 1000 SA for the balance term

From 2014 to 2019, let us assume bonus is Rs 40 per Rs 1000 of SA (5% lower than current rates) and Rs 38 per Rs 1000 of SA (10% lower than current rates) from 2020 – 22. FAB will be Rs 70 per Rs 1000 of SA, as per 2013 rates (see FAB table above). Let us now estimate what the maturity amount will be. See the schedule below.

The picture does not change all that much.

 

The maturity amount is Rs 19.35 lakhs and the return is 5.9%.

 

Investors should note that the maturity proceeds are tax free.

Conclusion

Investors, who rely on endowment policies for their retirement planning, will probably realize that the maturity proceeds will not be enough for their retirement and therefore can plan accordingly. It is important that investors clearly know what to expect from their endowment policies, so that they can go about their financial planning in a thoughtful way.

For further information contact Prajna Capital on 94 8300 8300 by leaving a missed call

Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300

Leave your comment with mail ID and we will answer them

OR

You can write back to us at

PrajnaCapital [at] Gmail [dot] Com

---------------------------------------------

Invest Mutual Funds Online

Invest Any Mutual Fund Online

Download Mutual Fund Application Forms from all AMCs

Download Mutual Any Fund Application Forms

---------------------------------------------

Best Performing Mutual Funds

    1. Largecap Funds Invest Online
      1. DSP BlackRock Top 100 Fund
      2. ICICI Prudential Focused Blue Chip Fund
      3. Franklin India Bluechip
      4. ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund

B. Large and Midcap Funds Invest Online

      1. ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan
      2. HDFC Top 200 Fund
      3. UTI Dividend Yield Fund
      4. Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund
      5. Franklin India Prima

C. Mid and SmallCap Funds Invest Online

      1. Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund
      2. DSP BlackRock Small & Midcap Fund
      3. Sundaram Select Midcap
      4. IDFC Premier Equity Fund
      5. Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus
      6. SBI Emerging Businesses Fund
      7. HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund
      8. ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund

D. Small and MicroCap Funds Invest Online

      1. DSP BlackRock MicroCap Fund

2.Franklin India Smaller Companies

E. Sector Funds Invest Online

      1. Reliance Banking Fund
      2. Reliance Banking Fund
      3. ICICI Prudential Banking and Financial Services Fund

F. Tax Saver Mutual Funds Invest Online

1. ICICI Prudential Tax Plan

2. HDFC Taxsaver

      1. DSP BlackRock Tax Saver Fund
      2. Reliance Tax Saver (ELSS) Fund

G. Gold Mutual Funds Invest Online

      1. Relaince Gold Savings Fund
      2. ICICI Prudential Regular Gold Savings Fund
      3. HDFC Gold Fund
      4. Birla Sun Life Gold

H. International funds Invest Online

1. Birla Sun Life International Equity Plan A

2. DSP BlackRock US Flexible Equity

3. FT India Feeder Franklin US Opportunities

4. ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity

5. Motilal Oswal MOSt Shares NASDAQ-100 ETF

Comparing mutual fund returns with fixed deposit returns in bull and bear markets

Posted: 05 Jun 2014 03:12 AM PDT

Download Tax Saving Mutual Fund Application Forms

Invest In Tax Saving Mutual Funds Online

Buy Gold Mutual Funds

Leave a missed Call on

94 8300 8300

Comparing mutual fund returns with fixed deposit returns in bull and bear markets

When it comes to mutual funds or equity investing, various perceptions are usually at play in the minds of the investors. Share markets are speculative. They can give good returns, but the investor can also lose a lot of money. As such, most investors in India prefer the safety of fixed deposits, which guarantees capital protection along with assured returns. While it is true that equities oriented mutual funds are riskier than fixed deposits, equity market professionals argue that equities provide much higher returns than fixed deposits in the long term. But many investors are still not impressed with that argument. Ask the investors who lost a huge portion of their equity investment in 2008. Investors are seen to be more biased to the avoidance of negative experiences. In psychological term, this is known as negativity bias, by which we recall bad memories more easily and in greater detail than good ones. This negative perception of risk associated with equity markets, still seems to be ruling the minds of average Indian retail investor despite the recent bullishness in the market. In this article, we will not go into perceptions regarding equity markets. Rather we will objectively look at returns given by mutual funds and fixed deposits, over the last 10 year period across different market cycles, both bull markets and bear markets. Investors can see for themselves, to what extent is their perception aligned with reality.

In the last 10 years we have gone through a long bull market from 2002 to 2007, recently again over the past year or so, and intermittent periods in between. However, during this period we also went through one of the worst recessions in 2008 and then again in 2011. By analyzing returns across both bull and bear market cycles investors can evaluate for themselves the risk return trade off for equity funds versus fixed deposits. It is important to note here that mutual funds are essentially long term investments. For our analysis, we have assumed that the investment time horizon in mutual funds is 5 years. We will examine the returns given by mutual funds over 5 years versus fixed deposit returns, for the period from 2002 to 2013 which included both bull and bear market periods.

For our equity investment, we have taken an average large cap equity fund. For our fixed deposits, we have taken the average interest rates offered by different banks over the last 10 years. The point to note here is that the difference between the highest and lowest fixed deposit rate offered by different banks is not all that much, but the difference in the returns between top performing funds and the category average was easily 5 – 6%, if not more. But we have decided to stick with large cap category average, lest are we accused of equity bias. The chart below shows the average category returns for large cap funds since 2002.

Therefore as per the chart, above if an investor invested Rs 10,000 in an average large cap fund at the end of 2001 and redeemed his units after 5 years at the end of 2006, his investment would have grown to Rs 43,788. Similarly, if the investor invested Rs 10,000 in a large cap fund at the end of 2002 and redeemed his units after 5 years at the end of 2007, his investment would have grown to Rs 59,484. Long term capital gains in equity funds are tax exempt. Therefore the investor would not have to pay any tax on his returns.

Now let us look at the average fixed deposit interest rates over the last 10 year period. The 1 to 3 year term rate is usually the highest fixed deposit rate. The rates for longer terms, e.g. 3 to 5 years and above are usually lower.

For the fixed deposit investment, we have assumed that the investor does a term deposit of 1 year (which usually has the highest interest rate) and renews it every year at the new rate. Since fixed deposit rates have been usually increasing year on year over this period, except a couple of years, this strategy would have worked best for the fixed deposit investor. If the investor invested Rs 10,000 in an FD at the end of 2001 and renewed it every year for 5 years, his principal and interest would amount to Rs 13,300 at the end of 2006. Fixed deposit interest is taxed as per the income tax slab rate of the investor. Assuming the investor is at the highest slab rate, the tax will be Rs 1,029. Therefore the post tax amount received by the investor would be Rs 12,301. Similarly, if the investor invested Rs 10,000 in an FD at the end of 2002 with annual renewal for 5 years, his post tax amount at the end of 2007 will be Rs 12,597.

As you can see, mutual fund returns beat fixed deposit interest by a wide margin in the bull market years, But what happened in the bear market years? The table below shows 5 year growth of Rs 10,000 investment, made at the end of various years from 2001 to 2008.

All investments made after 2003 (shaded in amber in the table above) had to go through bear markets of either 2008 or 2011 or both. Now, please take a look at the line "Capital Gain / (Loss). Investors with a five year horizon did not make a loss in the above example, except the investment made in the 2007 to 2012 time horizon. Even the investment made in the 2007 to 2012 time horizon, probably worst years of the financial crisis in the last 50 years, lost less than 2%, only Rs 181 loss on the Rs 10,000 investment. It is here, that we should revisit risk perception. There is no denying that equities are risky. But if you have a long time horizon, your investment can recover from the negative impact of a bear market and give you good returns. The table above shows that in the most of the periods the investors doubled their investment tax free despite the severe bear market.

Now let us look at Fixed Deposit post tax returns. The table below shows 5 year growth of Rs 10,000 investment, made at the end of various years from 2001 to 2008.

Let us compare the fixed deposit returns with the mutual fund returns. See the chart below, for the mutual fund returns versus fixed deposit returns over different 5 year time horizon over the last 10 years.

The chart above shows that while fixed deposits assure capital safety and guaranteed returns, mutual funds over a sufficiently long horizon have given much higher returns. Mutual fund returns are much higher in the 5 year time horizons starting 2002 to 2006. In the 2006 – 2011 and 2007 – 2012 time horizons, fixed deposits have given higher returns, no doubt as a result of the severe market downturns in 2008 and 2011. Again starting 2009, mutual funds have started to give better returns. When evaluating risk return trade off between mutual funds and fixed deposits, investors should compare their returns over sufficiently long period comprising of both bull markets and bear markets, as discussed above. The investment horizon is also of vital importance in determining the risk return trade off. It suffices to say that, if the investment horizon in our example was short, say 1 to 2 years, mutual funds would have had more periods of under performance.

Conclusion

In conclusion, we will go back to risk perception. Ultimately, the investor's perception of risk influences his or her risk appetite. As discussed in our article, Measuring Risk Tolerance of Investors, the investment decision of the investor should be governed by his or her risk tolerance and not risk appetite. However, when it comes to actual decision making, one cannot wish away the influence of the investor's perception of equity markets on their decision making. In this article, we have shown that if the investor remains invested for a sufficiently long time horizon, equity funds can give good returns despite difficult market conditions.

For further information contact Prajna Capital on 94 8300 8300 by leaving a missed call

Leave a missed Call on 94 8300 8300

Leave your comment with mail ID and we will answer them

OR

You can write back to us at

PrajnaCapital [at] Gmail [dot] Com

---------------------------------------------

Invest Mutual Funds Online

Invest Any Mutual Fund Online

Download Mutual Fund Application Forms from all AMCs

Download Mutual Any Fund Application Forms

---------------------------------------------

Best Performing Mutual Funds

    1. Largecap Funds Invest Online
      1. DSP BlackRock Top 100 Fund
      2. ICICI Prudential Focused Blue Chip Fund
      3. Franklin India Bluechip
      4. ICICI Prudential Top 100 Fund

B. Large and Midcap Funds Invest Online

      1. ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan
      2. HDFC Top 200 Fund
      3. UTI Dividend Yield Fund
      4. Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund
      5. Franklin India Prima

C. Mid and SmallCap Funds Invest Online

      1. Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund
      2. DSP BlackRock Small & Midcap Fund
      3. Sundaram Select Midcap
      4. IDFC Premier Equity Fund
      5. Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus
      6. SBI Emerging Businesses Fund
      7. HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund
      8. ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund

D. Small and MicroCap Funds Invest Online

      1. DSP BlackRock MicroCap Fund

2.Franklin India Smaller Companies

E. Sector Funds Invest Online

      1. Reliance Banking Fund
      2. Reliance Banking Fund
      3. ICICI Prudential Banking and Financial Services Fund

F. Tax Saver Mutual Funds Invest Online

1. ICICI Prudential Tax Plan

2. HDFC Taxsaver

      1. DSP BlackRock Tax Saver Fund
      2. Reliance Tax Saver (ELSS) Fund

G. Gold Mutual Funds Invest Online

      1. Relaince Gold Savings Fund
      2. ICICI Prudential Regular Gold Savings Fund
      3. HDFC Gold Fund
      4. Birla Sun Life Gold

H. International funds Invest Online

1. Birla Sun Life International Equity Plan A

2. DSP BlackRock US Flexible Equity

3. FT India Feeder Franklin US Opportunities

4. ICICI Prudential US Bluechip Equity

5. Motilal Oswal MOSt Shares NASDAQ-100 ETF

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